The 10.3 billion euro tranche that the Eurogroup decided to disburse to Greece will fully meet the country’s financing needs until the end of October, when the second review of the Greek programme is set to start, Eurozone officials said on Wednesday.
Describing the events behind the scenes at Tuesday’s Eurogroup, the sources said that the IMF and Europeans had reached a compromise in spite of their different initial positions, while confirming that the IMF will participate. According to one EU official, this was not so much a “power play” but more that all sides moved from their initial position, with the IMF fully understanding that the Eurozone operates in a different way from the fund.
Regarding the measures for the debt, the European sources said that there were no “immediate decisions” but this was not a surprise, since there were no debts maturing in the short term. In the medium-term, the Eurozone countries said they will examine the possibility of buying up debt to the IMF early, or the bilateral loans with Eurozone countries, using the unspent funds (approximately 20 billion euros) originally destined for the recapitalisation of the banks. This would, however, require the approval of some national parliaments.
According to Eurozone officials, the chances that Greece can return to borrowing from the markets at reasonable interest rates at the end of the programme are much higher following the agreement at Tuesday’s Eurogroup. They said that Greece’s access to the markets can begin to be restored gradually, in the second half of 2017, and that the aim is to restore full market access by the end of 2018.
The more credible Greece’s economic policy, including its success in delivering primary surplus targets, the smaller the spreads on Greek bonds will be, though borrowing from the Eurozone will always be cheaper, the same sources said. The second review of the Greek programme would begin at the end of October, they added, noting that the measures that remained to be taken will not be as difficult as those required by the first review.
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