UN Tourism | International travel up 5% in first half of 2025 despite challenges

International tourism continues to grow, confirming its resilience in the face of economic and geopolitical pressures. According to the latest UN World Tourism Barometer, international arrivals increased by 5% in the first half of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, exceeding pre-pandemic levels by 4%.

During the same period, the total number of international travelers reached approximately 690 million, 33 million more than in the corresponding 6 months of last year.

Regional performance

Africa: Led the way with a 12% increase, with North Africa reaching +14% and Sub-Saharan Africa +11%.
Europe: Welcomed almost 340 million international travelers (+4% vs. 2024, +7% vs. 2019). Central and Eastern Europe recorded a strong recovery (+9%) but remains 11% below pre-pandemic levels. Northern, Western and Southern European Mediterranean recorded a 3% increase, despite mixed monthly results.
Americas: Average 3% increase. South America stood out (+14%), while North America and the Caribbean remained flat.
Middle East: Slight decline in international arrivals (-4%), but still 29% above 2019.
Asia-Pacific: Impressive 11% increase, recovering to 92% of pre-pandemic levels, with Northeast Asia at +20% compared to 2024.
Major destination countries such as Japan and Vietnam saw a 21% jump, while Morocco (+19%), Korea (+15%), Mexico (+7%), France (+5%) and Spain (+5%) also recorded strong increases.
According to the International Air Transport Association (IATA), both international air traffic (RPKs) and international air capacity (ASKS) increased by 7% compared to the first half of 2024.

Tourism receipts up

Tourism receipts also moved up. Japan grew 18% in the year to June, the UK +13% (up to March), France +9%, Spain +8% and Turkey +8%.

Strong travel demand led to increased spending from some major markets such as China (+16% up to March), Spain (+16%), the UK (+15% up to March), Singapore (+10%) and the Republic of Korea (+8%).

In 2024, international tourism receipts increased by 11% to a record US$1.734 billion, around 14% above pre-pandemic levels in real terms.

At the same time, high prices for transport and accommodation remain a major headache for travel. “Tourism inflation” is expected to ease to 6.8% in 2025 from 8% last year, but remains well above pre-pandemic levels. Lower consumer confidence and geopolitical tensions are also seen as holding back growth.

3%-5% growth in international arrivals by end-2025

Despite the uncertainties, UN Tourism maintains its forecast for an annual growth of 3%–5% in international arrivals by end-2025, while the Confidence Index for the autumn-winter period rises to 120 points (on a scale of 0–200) compared to 114 in the May-August period.

Around 50% of UN Tourism experts expressed a better (44%) or much better (6%) outlook for the September-December period, while 33% forecast a similar performance to 2024. Around 16% expect tourism performance to be worse. This positive, although still cautious, outlook is also reflected in the higher proportion of “better” and “much better” outlooks recorded for 2025 overall (60% in the September survey versus 49% in May).

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